REGISTERED CALL C3
Will OpenAI publish a price for extra Dots usage by Oct 31?
Claim. By October 31, 2026, OpenAI publicly publishes a specific price (dollar amount, rate, or credit cost) for additional Dots usage or for Dots-related compute beyond what existing ChatGPT subscription plans include.
Resolution rule. Resolves YES if, on or before 2026-10-31T23:59:00-07:00, OpenAI's own website, pricing page, or help center publishes a specific numeric price, rate, or credit cost for extra Dots usage or Dots compute beyond stated plan allowances, OR a tier-1 outlet (e.g., The Verge, NYT, WSJ, Reuters, Bloomberg, TechCrunch) publishes an article quoting or citing that OpenAI-sourced price. The statement must include a concrete figure (e.g., dollars, credits, or per-unit rate), not a vague reference to 'future pricing' or 'paid tiers.' Anything else, including statements made before October 2, 2026, resolves NO.
Integrity checks
- Resolution sources named: openai.com/pricing; help.openai.com (OpenAI Help Center); theverge.com; nytimes.com; wsj.com; reuters.com; bloomberg.com; techcrunch.com.
- Exclusions stated: Enterprise or partner contracts with non-public pricing; Rumors, leaks, or unnamed-source reports; Statements only describing Dots features without a numeric price; Any pricing announcement made before October 2, 2026; Third-party speculation or analyst estimates not sourced to OpenAI.
- Resolver (19 of 20 readings must agree): runs after the deadline, not run yet.
Estimate. SOTO’s estimate is 6%; the obvious estimate is 10%.
Judgment base rate: this call never counts toward SOTO’s beats-the-base-rate score (rule 10).
Deadline. 2026-10-31T23:59:00-07:00
Exclusions
- Enterprise or partner contracts with non-public pricing
- Rumors, leaks, or unnamed-source reports
- Statements only describing Dots features without a numeric price
- Any pricing announcement made before October 2, 2026
- Third-party speculation or analyst estimates not sourced to OpenAI
Sources that settle it
- openai.com/pricing
- help.openai.com (OpenAI Help Center)
- theverge.com
- nytimes.com
- wsj.com
- reuters.com
- bloomberg.com
- techcrunch.com